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2021年5月26日
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The Conference Championship games are here, with the 1 seeds hosting in their respective conferences. The Packers will take on the Bucs in the NFC, while the Chiefs will matchup against the Bills in the AFC. Find out my favorite value picks for TD scorers in this Sunday’s games.Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers
Sunday, January 24th, 2021 – 3:05 PM ET at Lambeau Field
The NFC Championship game sees the Bucs traveling up to Lambeau to take on the Packers. It’s never easy for a warm-weather team to go North, but Tom Brady is definitely used to the cold from his years in New England, so the most important man on the team shouldn’t be bothered by the expected mid-20s temperatures. It looks like there’s a minor chance of snow, but the ground should be fine, and the NFL total has increased over the last couple of days, so people seem to think there will be points.
One bit of news that came out over the last couple of days is that Antonio Brown is out. So each pass-catcher beyond Evans and Godwin probably moves up the pecking order a little, and that’s where I’m looking for a bit of value here. The Packers have one very good cornerback in Jaire Alexander, you’d think he’ll be mainly on Evans, and that Godwin should get a lot of work in the slot.
I’m hoping that the good connection that Scotty Miller built with Tom Brady early in the season remains, as well as the beautiful move he pulled at the line of scrimmage last week late in the game, and he’ll take a few of the targets that Brown would have received. He’s scored 3 this year, mostly on deep shots, and the weather shouldn’t affect that aspect of Brady’s game here.
I’m also interested in Cameron Brate at tight end for them, again I think he’ll get more targets with AB out, and in recent weeks has been more involved in the passing game than Gronk has. He actually led the team in receiving yards last week with 50 from 4 receptions (a quarter of Brady’s yards). Two for this game then.
TD Scorers:
*Scotty Miller anytime TD +350 at BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)
*Cameron Brate anytime TD +350 at Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Sunday, January 17th, 2021 - 3:05 PM ET at Arrowhead Stadium
The Bills make their first championship game since 1993 after beating the Ravens last week to face the Chiefs. These are very similar teams, with the same strengths, and both can score points at the drop of a hat. So you’ve got to be expecting a lot of points in this one, and that should mean a lot of TDs being scored. The Super Bowl odds have the Chiefs as favorites to win the whole thing, and 3 point favorites are about right for this game.
Due to the high scoring expected, there’s a distinct lack of value in TD scorer odds. Hill and Kelce unsurprisingly are heavily odds-on, so it’s trying to pick the best of the rest. The Chiefs look likely to be without Bashaud Breeland at corner, which should help out the likes of John Brown (+200), and Gabriel Davis (+300), both of whom are priced nicely at the best betting sites.
Dawson Knox at +250 is under consideration at tight end for the Bills, the Chiefs allowed 9 TDs to the position in the regular season, and Knox has already scored in the post-season.
On the Chiefs side of the ball, Mahomes will be playing as expected. Hill and Kelce are short on odds, so it’s picking your poison from the likes of Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson, and probably Clyde Edwards-Helaire (if he’s back from injury). I went for Robinson last week, and he didn’t make any catches. Hardman was involved a lot, and Edwards-Helaire should put up yards if he’s fit enough. They’re all avoidable for me to be honest.
For my NFL Picks, I’m plumping for someone on the Bills side of the ball. I’ll go for Smokey to make his mark, he finished last week with 8 from 11 targets last week, and Allen likes him.
TD Scorer:John Brown anytime TD +200 at BetOnline
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“I love this new format of the three games on each day,” DraftKings Sportsbook Director Johnny Avello told TheLines this week.
And what’s not to love? An unprecedented six NFL playoff games will be played this weekend and sportsbooks are gearing up with some tremendous offers for new and existing users.
Here is a look at some of the best odds boosts and sportsbook promos for Saturday and Sunday.DraftKings Sportsbook
New players at DraftKings Sportsbook continue to get a match of their first bet, up to $500. The site also offers a 20% deposit bonus, up to $1000.
Get started at DraftKings Sportsbook by going here.
Refer a friend and both accounts can get a free bet, up to $100.
DK has a “No-Brainer Boost” for Wild Card weekend. Players can get +100 on a touchdown being scored in any of the six games, up to $25.
And here are the odds boosts for the upcoming games:
*Bills, Seahawks, and Steelers all to win: +170
*Josh Allen to record a passing TD and a rushing TD: +175
*Tom Brady to throw 3+ TDs: +180
*Titans, Saints, and Steelers all to win: +330
*DK Metcalf over 60.5 receiving yards and score a TD: +340
*Josh Allen to record a rushing TD and passing TD: +175
*Tom Brady to throw 3+ TDs: +180
*Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry to each score a TD: +270
*Taysom Hill to score a TD: +250
*Bills, Seahawks, Buccaneers all to win: +180
*Titans, Saints and Steelers all to win: +355FanDuel Sportsbook
Any team to win! For the NFL Wild Card round, get a 25/1 odds boost to pick any team to win in any of the six games on the slate. This offer is for new users only.
FanDuel Sportsbook features Multi-Sport Parlay Insurance. Bet a five-leg or larger parlay and if it loses, the site will offer a free bet in the amount wagered, up to $25.
Get started at FanDuel Sportsbook by going here.
Pick any NFL game and get a same-game parlay. Click the Same Game Parlay tab to build from the props, spread, and total prices. Wager three pre-game legs or more that total +200 or greater payout and if the bet loses, receive the amount wagered as a free bet, up to $25.
Here are the promoted odds boost for the weekend:
*Bills, Seahawks, and Buccaneers all to win: +190
*Extra Points For Extra Pay – Over 49.5 in Colts/Bills, Bears +10.5 and Ravens -1.5: +500
*Pat’s Picks: Seahawks -2.5, Bucs -7.5, Titans +3.5, Steelers -5.5: +1200
*Josh Allen 300+ passing yards and 300+ passing TDs: +320
*DK Metcalf to score the first TD vs. Rams: +900
*Tom Brady 300+ passing yards and Bucs win: +210BetMGM
New players with BetMGM can get a 100% matching bonus on the first deposit, up to $50. Just use the code on the promotions page and deposit $10 or more.
Sign up for BetMGM by going here.
For BetMGM app users, make a bet of $20 or more on any single NFL game and get $10 in freeplay on live dealer games. This can be used multiple times a week but just once per day.
Opt-in to bet the First Touchdown Scorer in a game risk free. If the player doesn’t score the first TD, get back the bet as site credit, up to $20.
The site also has the Easy Parlay option to build multi-leg parlays around different games. Select the Easy Parlay icon on the main bar and select from moneylines, spreads, and totals for the week. A 4-7 leg multi-sport parlay is now eligible for up to a 40% profit boost.
Each game has the Parlay Builder option as well. Choose from a variety of pre-built three-leg parlays with differing payouts.
Here are the promoted parlays for Wild Card weekend:
*All 12 starting QBs to record 1+ passing TD: +170
*Saints and Titans both to win: +210
*Any Wild Card game to go overtime: +250
*Bills and Rams both to win: +260
*Any of the six Wild Card (winners) to win Super Bowl LV: +300
*Ravens and Browns both to win: +333
*Colts and Buccaneers both to win: +340
*Seahawks and Washington both to win: +550FOX Bet
New players at FOX Bet get their first bet risk-free. If the wager loses, the amount bet will be offered as site credit, up to $500.
To sign up for FOX Bet now, go here.
New players can also make a deposit and get +500 odds for the Seahawks or the Steelers to score a point in the game. Bet up to $20 and get 5x return in free bets for the site.
The site now features a build-a-prop option for individual games. Select a game, click the build-a-prop option, and choose from the selected elements.
Each game has a set of Bet Boosts. Check the site and peruse the options.
Follow @FoxBet on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook to get a chance to win a $100 free bet every Friday morning at 10 AM EST.
Bet a three-leg parlay (-200 odds or better on each leg) for $10 or more Monday through Friday and get an instant $5 free bet. Opt-in to get started on this once a week offer.
FOX Bet has the following boosts for this weekend:
*Triple your money – Bills, Seahawks, Bucs all to win: +200
*4x your money – Josh Allen, Russell Wilson and Tom Brady 2 or more passing TDs: +300
*TY Hilton and Robert Woods 200 or more combined receiving yards: +1200PointsBet
New players at PointsBet get a risk-free bet up to $500 on fixed odds and a risk-free bet up to $500 on any Pointsbetting market. Losing bets will be repaid in site credit.
No Juice Wild Card Weekend! For the first round of the NFL Playoffs, PointsBet is offering No Juice on all NFL Wild Card spreads. This means you can bet all of the game’s spreads at +100 odds.
To take advantage of PointsBet’s fabulous offers, go here.
Refer a friend to get $50 for each account. Send the unique link to start the sign-up process to get the bonus.Td Sportsbook Login
The site now features single-game parlays for all NFL action. Select a game, click Single Game Parlay, and go through the traditional and Pointsbetting options.
Starting Friday, the site will offer “no-vig” spread bets. Select a game and get +100 prices for all six of the Wild Card games.
*For the Colts vs. Bills game Saturday and the Ravens vs. Titans game Sunday, players can get in-game play matched. Bet $50 in-game for a $25 free bet or bet $100 in-game for a $50 free bet.Bet Rivers
Take advantage of BetRivers’ offers by signing up here now.Td Sportsbook Games
BetRivers has the following odds boosts for this weekend’s games:Td Sportsbook Rewards
*Over 34.5 combined total touchdowns score in NFL Wild Card weekend games: +100
*Over 1.5 combined total defense/special teams TDs scored in NFL Wild Card weekend games: +160
*Any player to score 3+ TDs in NFL Wild Card weekend games: -286
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